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As the calendar year — and non-conference play — comes to a close, the Florida Gators sit at No. 13 in the KenPom College Basketball Ratings.
The Gators' adjusted efficiency margin dipped slightly by 0.4 points to a +26.47 net rating. Florida started the season ranked No. 2 by KenPom, but the non-conference schedule has proven difficult with losses to No. 2 Arizona, No. 6 Duke and No. 9 UConn.
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Florida's offense (120.8) is down 0.4 points per 100 possessions, dropping the Gators back outside the top 25 to No. 27. However, the defense held steady at 94.3 points allowed per 100 possessions and moved back into the top 10
The Gators are nestled between No. 12 Houston (+27.28) and No. 14 Tennessee (+25.70).
Breaking down more KenPom ratings
Date | Nov. 30 | Dec. 10 | Dec. 17 | Dec. 27 | Dec. 31 |
W-L | 5-2 | 5-4 | 6-4 | 8-4 | 9-4 |
NetRtg | +25.70 | +26.55 (15) | +26.27 (13) | +26.87 (12) | +26.47 (13) |
ORtg | 120.1 (24) | 120.4 (23) | 120.0 (30) | 121.2 (24) | 120.8 (27) |
DRtg | 94.4 (10) | 93.8 (11) | 93.7 (10) | 94.3 (11) | 94.3 (10) |
AdjT | 72.9 (22) | 71.5 (43) | 71.3 (51) | 71.3 (64) | 71.4 (61) |
Luck | -.055 (278) | -.159 (362) | -.127 (355) | -.118 (351) | -.110 (348) |
SOS Net | +7.83 (35) | +14.26 (3) | +13.36 (4) | +8.33 (25) | +6.32 (32) |
SOS ORtg | 111.3 (50) | 114.8 (5) | 115.4 (3) | 113.1 (27) | 112.2 (31) |
SOS DRtg | 103.5 (33) | 100.5 (2) | 102.1 (8) | 104.7 (24) | 105.9 (50) |
NCSOS Net | +7.83 (35) | +14.26 (3) | +13.36 (7) | +8.33 (27) | +6.32 (44) |
Florida is playing with an adjusted tempo of 71.4 possessions per 40 minutes, 0.1 possessions more than the last update. That small change moved the Gators up three spots to No. 61 nationally.
The Orange and Blue are among the unluckiest Power Four teams in the country, with a -.110 luck rating, good for No. 348 out of 365 teams. Only Northwestern (-.116), South Carolina (-.119) and West Virginia (-.127) have worse luck this season. KenPom's luck rating is the deviation in winning percentage between a team’s actual record and its expected record using the correlated Gaussian method.
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If the math stuff is confusing, ignore it. The gist is that a positive number is worse than a negative number. High luck can result in a lower rating than a record suggests, and negative luck often means underperformance.
Strength of Schedule according to KenPom
Florida's strength of schedule dropped from plus-8.33 (25th) to plus-6.36 (32nd) at the end of a four-game stretch against mid-to-low-major opponents. Prior to that stretch, Florida faced a top-5 schedule in terms of SOS. Further broken down, Florida's opponents are scoring 112.2 points per 100 possessions, the 31st most in the country, and allowing 105.9 points, good for 50th overall.
Florida's non-conference SOS rating is the same (+6.32); however, that figure ranks 44th overall since other leagues have started conference play.
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This article originally appeared on Gators Wire: Florida basketball's KenPom ratings ahead of SEC play
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