Ravens playoff picture: Scenarios, chances for Baltimore to win AFC North

6 days ago 2

The Baltimore Ravens were staring down the barrel of potential playoff elimination in Week 17 of the 2025 NFL season.

The team managed to stave it off and create a winner-take-all matchup for the AFC North title against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 18.

The Ravens earned the opportunity by beating the Green Bay Packers with Tyler Huntley starting in place of the injured Lamar Jackson (back) at quarterback. Derrick Henry totaled 216 yards and four touchdowns on a whopping 36 carries to catalyze the victory.

Then, Baltimore got the help it needed to stay alive in the divisional race. The Cleveland Browns beat the Steelers 13-6 in a defensive slog during which Shedeur Sanders' first-half touchdown pass to Harold Fannin Jr. proved to be the difference.

Will the Ravens be able to make the most of their opportunity? Many are expecting the Ravens to make it into the playoffs for the fourth consecutive season and the seventh time in Jackson's eight seasons with the team.

Here's a full breakdown of the Ravens' playoff chances as they prepare to play in the final game of the 2025 NFL season.

Ravens playoff chances

The Ravens have an estimated 60% chance to make the playoffs, according to NFL Next Gen Stats.

Baltimore saw its playoff chances swing heavily in its favor after facing elimination in Week 17. The Ravens' win over the Packers and the Steelers' loss to the Browns established Baltimore as the favorite to win the AFC North for the 2025 NFL season.

Ravens playoff scenarios

The Ravens can only get into the playoffs by winning the AFC North. Here's a look at what it will take for Baltimore to win its third consecutive division title:

Ravens win at Steelers

If Baltimore can beat Pittsburgh, it would get into the NFL playoffs as the AFC's No. 4 seed. The Ravens would then host the Houston Texans, who clinched the No. 5 seed as the top wild card.

If the Ravens fail to beat the Steelers or tie with their divisional rival, Baltimore will miss the playoffs for the first time since 2021.

AFC North standings

The Ravens are trailing the Steelers by a game in the AFC North race entering the final week of the 2025 regular season. Below is a full look at the divisional standings:

Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7)
Baltimore Ravens (8-8)
Cincinnati Bengals (6-11)
Cleveland Browns (5-12)

The Ravens need to win to tie the Steelers in the AFC North standings. If Baltimore achieves that goal, it would win a tiebreaker over Pittsburgh by sporting a better divisional record than its rival. Both teams sport 3-2 divisional records entering Week 18.